May 7, 2012
By Pauline Chiou,Special to The China
I visited the Cambodian Stock
Exchange (CSX) last September in the heart of Phnom Penh. It had
officially “opened” a few months prior but no companies were listed
yet. The trading room was filled with new desks and computer monitors,
waiting for someone to power them on. Fast-forward seven months and the
stock exchange is now starting to breathe signs of life— there is now
one company trading on the exchange. On April 18, the Cambodian Stock
Exchange started trading with the initial public offering (IPO) of the
state utility company, “Phnom Penh Water Supply Authority.”
As a frontier market, Cambodia is still a work in progress.
The government is trying to woo global investors by throwing open its
doors and virtually saying, “We'll make it easy for you.” There are no
capital controls. No requirements for joint ventures. International
companies can own 100 percent of their local business in Cambodia. The
only major restriction is on foreign ownership of land. With a young
labor force that commands cheaper wages than China, Cambodia has been
looking attractive to foreign companies. Despite these incentives,
there are many challenges for the new stock exchange:
Challenge #1: Short-term Investors
Even with just one company trading, the exchange generated a lot of
interest among local and foreign investors. In the first three days of
trading, the share price for the water utility rose 60 percent above
its IPO price, but by the following week, short term-investors started
selling to take in profits. The stock price came down substantially.
“It's kind of a typical phenomenon for a new exchange. It happened in
the Laos market and Vietnam's market. It is no surprise to me ... Some
people made a 50-percent profit within a few days. They tend to be
short sighted by this fluctuation in price and it will take some time
for them to understand the market and make long-term investments,” says
KT Han, managing director of Tongyang Securities which was the sole
underwriter of the IPO.
Challenge #2: More Companies Need to List
You need more than one company to make a stock exchange thrive. Laos'
stock market opened in January 2011 and it still has only two companies
trading. The volume of trade is fairly stagnant. That's exactly what
investors don't want to see with the Cambodian Stock Exchange. Another
company, Telecom Cambodia, is preparing its IPO later this year.
“I don't see any reason why
eventually you can't have a dozen companies trading on the stock
exchange. A lot of the big banks are listable,” says Scott Lewis, Chief
Investment Officer of Leopard Capital which invests in pre-emerging
markets. “I know some brokers have mandates from garment manufacturers
(to prepare to list).”
He also believes the success of
the Cambodian Stock Exchange can have a nice domino effect. If it
starts to hum, brokers will publish research on both Cambodian and Laos
stock exchange-listed companies, generating interest in the region. The
key is to get more companies to list and greater volume trading.
Challenge #3: Proper Accounting
In order for a company to list on the CSX, it must have at least three
years of proper audits prepared by an accredited international
accounting firm approved by the Cambodian government. This is a tough
challenge for many local, Cambodian companies. When I was in Cambodia
last September, one analyst told me that he couldn't think of one large
Cambodian company that had audited financial statements. So it will
take time for some local companies to get up to speed.
Challenge #4: Volatility of a Frontier Market
The government is doing its best to showcase the stock exchange. In one
of the busiest traffic intersections of Phnom Penh, there is a large
stock market television screen that shows the stock market moves. It
generates interest among individual retail investors who can watch the
stock price as they sit in traffic. Institutional investors from Japan,
Korea and China have also taken a bite of the recent IPO, but whether
that interest can be sustained is still a big question. Cambodia is new
to the game. Risk and volatility are inherent in a frontier market.
Corruption is a concern even though the government passed an
anti-corruption law in 2010.
Han is very frank about the risks,
“In general, the lack of a capital market infrastructure can be a
challenge for investors. The cost of capacity building can be a
challenge for investors who are not familiar with a market like
Cambodia. In terms of corporate governance (e.g. accounting, business
ethics), there's a long way to go for local family-owned businesses.
But once you understand the market here, there can be more opportunity
than risk.”
Pauline Chiou is a CNN anchor/correspondent based in
Hong Kong. Follow Pauline on Twitter @PaulineCNN. For more business
coverage, go to www.cnn.com/business.
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